A day late because all I've been able to think about the last two days is how much the Phils were starting to resemble the last two seasons' iterations of the Mets, it's time to revisit a fairly interesting week 3 of the NFL season. My preseason picks went 10-6, bringing the season's total to 34-14, though also continuing the decline in my results from week 1 to week 2. With the onset of bye week season next week, I'll have a significantly smaller sample size from week to week for a while, but if things keep moving the direction they are, I'll be under posting sub-.500 weeks before I know it. So, what have I learned?
Lessons Learned from the Games I Missed
Washington at Detroit: Well, for starters, I learned that even when losing to the most pathetic franchise in sports to snap the longest losing streak in the NFL in decades, one can get a perfectly respectable performance from Jason Campbell filling in for Donovan McNabb in fantasy. But more importantly, I also learned that the Redskins, after only three weeks, appear to be a team with absolutely no desire. They didn't lose to the Lions on talent, they lost because the Lions were fighting harder than them on every single snap of the game. Truth be told, they could easily have lost to one of the only teams I've seen thus far that looks worse than them, the Rams, last week, but their superior talent was enough to set up a few field goals. Amazingly, though, the 'Skins could very well be sitting at 3-3 before we all know it, with the pathetic Bucs and Chiefs scheduled for trips to the nation's capital over the next three weeks. But if they don't sweep those two games and win in Carolina in between, I think we can officially label them the Deadskins for the rest of 2009. Even at 3-3 they'll be too far behind the Giants, and likely the Eagles and Cowboys as well, to make any kind of push.
Tennessee at NY Jets: Believe it or not, this Jets win impressed me even more than beating the Patriots. To begin with, the Titans mostly kept the Jets off of Kerry Collins, which common logic would tell you is the way to beat the Jets. Add to that Mark Sanchez's first performance which looked like a rookie quarterback and you find yourself wondering how the Jets managed to win the game. Amazingly, on top of it all, the Jets couldn't run the ball even a little bit, with Leon Washington and Thomas Jones carrying the ball a combined 26 times for 66 yards. All that, and a Titans team desperate to avoid an 0-3 start couldn't hold off Sexy Rexy's Jetsies, though. They played another of the gritty, grind it out sort of game that belies the youth and transition which looked like they would define the Jets heading into the season. They face an altogether different test this week, trading in a rain-soaked defensive struggle for what will probably be either a shootout or a blowout under the dome in New Orleans. If they pass that test, it's gonna hard to convince anyone they aren't the best team in the AFC.
Jacksonville at Houston: The Texans' defense has made an absolute fool of me over the first three weeks of the season. In week 1, they gave up 24 points to the Jets, who have averaged 20 in their other two games. In week 2, the Titans, who have averaged 13.5 points in their other two losses, scored 31 in a loss to Houston. Most recently, Jacksonville put up 31 points on them, after averaging just 14.5 in their first two games. So, through three weeks, Houston opponents are outscoring their average output by an average of 12.67 points per game. I don't care if you see that as being two touchdowns or four field goals better against Houston than against everyone else, however you slice it, it's terrifyingly bad.
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati: The Steelers won't be #1 in my top 10 this week. But until I heard the words "Willie Parker" and "turf toe" in the same breath earlier this morning, they weren't gonna drop out of the top 5, either. The thing that worries me most about the Steelers right now is Jeff Reed, who looks like he has fallen off the dreaded kickers' cliff, which we all know can very quickly become a very prolonged problem. Even in one of the sloppiest games I've seen the Steelers play under Mike Tomlin, a game which included a pair of airheaded penalties against normally reliable Hines Ward, and a drop on an easy touchdown catch by Limas Sweed, and the continued invisibility of Rashard Mendenhall, they were only a missed chip shot field goal away from overtime, and a touchdown inside the last 20 seconds away from winning the game in regulation. The truth is, Tomlin must have looked at the film by now and realized he beat himself abandoning a defense which was doing exactly what he wanted it to do for most of the final drive. The entire point of a strategy like they started off employing, keeping the play in front of them at all times, giving up small chunks of yards underneath, is that the closer you get to the end zone, the harder it becomes to find those spaces to fit the ball into. If Tomlin sticks with that strategy in the red zone, instead of suddenly opening up the field by sending a pair of blitzes which the Bengals easily picked up, there probably wouldn't be panic right now among Steelers fans. He's too smart to make that mistake again, especially at the end of a game in which he hasn't managed to find a pass rush the entire time.
Denver at Oakland: As I indicated going into the weekend, I had already changed my preseason opinion on this one after just two weeks. The Broncos, even without Mike Shanahan, appear able to plug running backs into the offense and make them better than they really are. Add to that a defense which really does appear to be taking on the mentality of their newly imported spiritual leader, future Hall of Fame safety and the greatest Eagle since Reggie White, Brian Dawkins. Of course, it's not that tough to look like an aggressive, intimidating defense when you play a couple of teams from Ohio and the Raiders, but for the moment, the Broncos appear to be a semi-legitimate threat. But at the end of the day, there's a reason the Bears were willing to ship out a fairly successful starting quarterback in Kyle Orton and a pair of first round picks to get Jay Cutler. Orton just isn't good enough to win them the games teams generally need their quarterback to win.
Indianapolis at Arizona: If the Colts' undersized linebackers and secondary can do as good of a job disrupting the Cardinals' offensive timing as they did, the defending Super Bowl losers are in deep, deep trouble. We've always known they had no running game, and that their defense wasn't anything to write home about, but Warner to Boldin/Fitzgerald was supposed to be a sure thing. The Colts' defense made them look like any other one dimensional offense. It can't be too long before all the defenses in the NFL superior to the Colts figure out how to do it.
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Chicagoans Resist I.C.E. Agents
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Immigration agents are using aggressive tactics. Residents of the sanctuary
city are trying to resist them.